Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.3% vs Draisaitl 48.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 58.3%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 75.1%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 72.3%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
Last 6: Jarnkrok 1-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (560)
48.9% (894)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.5% (61)
44.8% (134)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
33.7% (178)
50.0% (10)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Draisaitl is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
Home
49.5% (396)
52.5% (516)
Away
42.2% (403)
44.3% (522)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Draisaitl
P1
41.6%
48.2%
P2
42.8%
48.2%
P3
52.5%
48.8%
OT
42.9%
45.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |