Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Draisaitl 42.9% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 77.0%
Defensive zone
Spezza 86.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 77.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Spezza
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Spezza
Draisaitl
Last 5: Spezza 5-0 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
41.5% (270)
+11.5%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
35.6% (45)
+22.9%
On power play, Spezza has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Draisaitl is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Spezza
Draisaitl
Home
56.4% (626)
45.1% (164)
Away
51.7% (636)
35.8% (151)
By Period
Spezza
Draisaitl
P1
56.9%
48.1%
P2
51.9%
34.8%
P3
53.9%
39.4%
Final 5 min
54.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |