Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Spezza wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.7% vs Draisaitl 55.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 19-10 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 83.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 57.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 57.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Spezza
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
10
(29 meetings)
19
10
Spezza
Draisaitl
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Spezza
Draisaitl
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
12
3
Spezza
Draisaitl
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (292)
54.8% (675)
+3.1%
Power Play
62.3% (53)
60.2% (266)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (138)
48.9% (90)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Spezza is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Spezza shoots right. Draisaitl is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Spezza
Draisaitl
Home
58.4% (238)
57.3% (525)
Away
55.5% (245)
54.0% (506)
By Period
Spezza
Draisaitl
P1
59.2%
56.1%
P2
54.8%
54.5%
P3
57.4%
56.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |