Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 79.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 81.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 77.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Norris
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Norris
Draisaitl
Last 8: Norris 0-8 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Norris
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Norris
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Norris
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
57.4% (1,010)
-5.2%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
56.2% (331)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
54.5% (110)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Norris
Draisaitl
Home
50.7% (351)
56.4% (734)
Away
54.0% (278)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Norris
Draisaitl
P1
55.6%
55.6%
P2
49.3%
62.1%
P3
52.1%
52.4%
OT
42.9%
61.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |