Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 42-18 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 66.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 81.0%
Neutral zone
Norris 72.6%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Norris
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
42
(60 meetings)
18
42
Norris
Draisaitl
Last 10: Norris 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
18
Norris
Draisaitl
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
8
11
Norris
Draisaitl
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
13
Norris
Draisaitl
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
52.9% (10,240)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
55.7% (2,827)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
51.2% (977)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Norris shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
Norris
Draisaitl
Home
53.1% (1,856)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Norris
Draisaitl
P1
55.6%
52.7%
P2
51.4%
53.6%
P3
50.1%
53.4%
OT
40.5%
57.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |