Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 53.2%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.2% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 42-18 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 63.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 81.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 71.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Norris
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
42
(60 meetings)
18
42
Norris
Draisaitl
Last 10: Norris 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
18
Norris
Draisaitl
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
8
11
Norris
Draisaitl
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
13
Norris
Draisaitl
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (2,904)
52.7% (10,077)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.8% (364)
55.7% (2,785)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
51.3% (972)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,264).
Norris shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,795).
Home / Away
Norris
Draisaitl
Home
53.2% (1,778)
54.6% (6,995)
Away
51.3% (1,730)
51.8% (6,839)
By Period
Norris
Draisaitl
P1
55.6%
52.6%
P2
51.8%
53.5%
P3
50.0%
53.2%
OT
41.5%
57.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |