Justin Hryckowian vs Leon Draisaitl
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.9%). Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hryckowian wins 62.1% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 54.6% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 63.3%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 73.1%
Neutral zone
Hryckowian 55.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
Last 7: Hryckowian 3-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
4
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (214)
55.9% (835)
+3.4%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
61.8% (228)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
50.0% (40)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Hryckowian is 62.1% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Hryckowian shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
Home
58.1% (129)
55.1% (508)
Away
54.6% (119)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Hryckowian
Draisaitl
P1
49.3%
55.8%
P2
65.4%
55.7%
P3
52.2%
59.0%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
52.0%▼
56.0%
56.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Justin Hryckowian |