Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 50.5% vs Johnson 49.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 70.7%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 60.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 62.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Draisaitl
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Draisaitl
Johnson
Last 7: Draisaitl 4-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (931)
52.3% (88)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (127)
27.8% (18)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Draisaitl is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (473).
Draisaitl shoots left. Johnson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Johnson
Home
51.3% (637)
56.3% (32)
Away
49.8% (703)
44.6% (74)
By Period
Draisaitl
Johnson
P1
50.3%
45.2%
P2
47.4%
58.1%
P3
53.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
50.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |