Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Johnson 49.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 76.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 52.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 68.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Draisaitl
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Draisaitl
Johnson
Last 7: Draisaitl 4-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
51.0% (202)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
66.7% (3)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
30.0% (20)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Johnson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Johnson
Home
54.6% (7,049)
53.7% (67)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
47.5% (158)
By Period
Draisaitl
Johnson
P1
52.7%
53.8%
P2
53.6%
53.8%
P3
53.4%
39.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |