Leon Draisaitl vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.5% vs McCarron 52.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 89.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 84.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 61.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Draisaitl
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Draisaitl
McCarron
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
1
Draisaitl
McCarron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
4
Draisaitl
McCarron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Draisaitl
McCarron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (672)
52.5% (562)
+1.8%
Power Play
62.9% (186)
22.2% (9)
+40.7%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
54.3% (164)
+0.0%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Draisaitl shoots left. McCarron is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (525).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
McCarron
Home
54.4% (454)
52.5% (373)
Away
57.9% (439)
52.5% (362)
By Period
Draisaitl
McCarron
P1
55.2%
58.9%
P2
54.8%
49.2%
P3
57.9%
49.4%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.1%
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |