Leon Draisaitl vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.4%). Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs McCarron 54.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 82.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 89.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 51.5%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Draisaitl
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Draisaitl
McCarron
Last 10: Draisaitl 3-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
6
Draisaitl
McCarron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
54.2% (756)
-0.5%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
55.6% (9)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
55.1% (158)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Draisaitl shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
McCarron
Home
55.2% (636)
54.6% (445)
Away
53.4% (560)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Draisaitl
McCarron
P1
50.8%
53.6%
P2
56.6%
55.6%
P3
54.0%
53.7%
OT
67.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |