Leon Draisaitl vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 98 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Backlund 49.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 135-134 in 269 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 70.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 71.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Draisaitl
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
134
-
135
(269 meetings)
134
135
Draisaitl
Backlund
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
72
30
Draisaitl
Backlund
102 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
24
74
Draisaitl
Backlund
98 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
38
31
Draisaitl
Backlund
69 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
49.7% (13,410)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
51.6% (1,336)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
44.0% (2,446)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Backlund
Home
54.6% (7,049)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Draisaitl
Backlund
P1
52.7%
48.5%
P2
53.6%
50.3%
P3
53.4%
48.4%
OT
57.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |