Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 52.5%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Geekie 52.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 50.2%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 50.0%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 56.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Draisaitl
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Draisaitl
Geekie
Last 6: Draisaitl 3-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
1
Draisaitl
Geekie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Draisaitl
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
53.2% (615)
-0.6%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
44.4% (36)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
44.4% (18)
+4.8%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Draisaitl shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Geekie
Home
55.5% (816)
55.0% (331)
Away
51.4% (845)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Draisaitl
Geekie
P1
51.1%
53.9%
P2
51.6%
56.0%
P3
56.9%
46.5%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |