Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Thompson 54.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 70.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 74.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Draisaitl
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Draisaitl
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
55.5% (236)
-2.9%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
60.0% (5)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
56.5% (46)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thompson
Home
55.5% (816)
53.1% (128)
Away
51.4% (845)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thompson
P1
51.1%
59.0%
P2
51.6%
55.4%
P3
56.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |