Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 13-2 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 90.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 81.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 82.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Draisaitl
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
2
(15 meetings)
13
2
Draisaitl
Suzuki
Last 10: Draisaitl 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
2
Draisaitl
Suzuki
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
51.3% (904)
+4.6%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
49.8% (265)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
36.8% (57)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Suzuki
Home
55.1% (508)
50.6% (603)
Away
58.5% (595)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Draisaitl
Suzuki
P1
55.8%
52.3%
P2
55.7%
47.5%
P3
59.0%
51.1%
OT
60.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |