Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 45 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 69-39 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 88.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 85.0%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 83.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Draisaitl
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
69
-
39
(108 meetings)
69
39
Draisaitl
Suzuki
Last 10: Draisaitl 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
30
15
Draisaitl
Suzuki
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
25
16
Draisaitl
Suzuki
41 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
14
8
Draisaitl
Suzuki
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
49.4% (6,327)
+3.5%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
50.7% (1,338)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
43.6% (456)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Suzuki
Home
54.6% (7,049)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Draisaitl
Suzuki
P1
52.7%
48.8%
P2
53.6%
49.1%
P3
53.4%
50.2%
OT
57.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 19, 2024 | OT | 00:58 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |