Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Moore shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Moore 48.9% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 85.4%
Defensive zone
Moore 75.6%
Neutral zone
Moore 82.3%
Result
Oliver Moore favored at 80.5%
19.5%
80.5%
Draisaitl
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Draisaitl
Moore
Last 6: Draisaitl 1-5 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
3
Draisaitl
Moore
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
1
2
Draisaitl
Moore
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
50.3% (187)
+5.6%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
33.3% (15)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Moore is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Moore
Home
55.1% (508)
52.3% (132)
Away
58.5% (595)
41.1% (73)
By Period
Draisaitl
Moore
P1
55.8%
44.3%
P2
55.7%
54.2%
P3
59.0%
46.5%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Moore
38.0%▼
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Oliver Moore |