Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Moore 48.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 85.5%
Defensive zone
Moore 69.1%
Neutral zone
Moore 75.8%
Result
Oliver Moore favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Draisaitl
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Draisaitl
Moore
Last 6: Draisaitl 1-5 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
0
3
Draisaitl
Moore
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
1
2
Draisaitl
Moore
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
49.1% (212)
+3.8%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
31.3% (16)
+24.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
25.0% (4)
+26.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Moore is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Moore
Home
54.6% (7,049)
50.4% (141)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
42.9% (91)
By Period
Draisaitl
Moore
P1
52.7%
44.7%
P2
53.6%
49.3%
P3
53.4%
48.1%
OT
57.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Moore
38.0%▼
48.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Oliver Moore |