Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 90.6%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 89.0%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 52.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Draisaitl
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Draisaitl
Gaustad
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
0
Draisaitl
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Draisaitl
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Draisaitl
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
58.2% (4,334)
-5.3%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
65.4% (188)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
54.8% (1,290)
-3.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Gaustad
Home
54.6% (7,049)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Draisaitl
Gaustad
P1
52.7%
58.2%
P2
53.6%
56.4%
P3
53.4%
58.3%
OT
57.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |