Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Faksa 53.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 89.2%
Defensive zone
Faksa 79.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 56.9%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Draisaitl
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Draisaitl
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Faksa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
56.4% (289)
-0.5%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
0.0% (2)
+61.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
49.2% (126)
+0.8%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +61.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Faksa
Home
55.1% (508)
54.9% (182)
Away
58.5% (595)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Draisaitl
Faksa
P1
55.8%
61.1%
P2
55.7%
51.3%
P3
59.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |