Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Johnson 52.1% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 80.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 68.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 52.1%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Draisaitl
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Draisaitl
Johnson
Last 7: Draisaitl 4-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Draisaitl
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
55.4% (186)
-3.0%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
100.0% (3)
-40.5%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
37.8% (37)
+23.2%
On power play, Johnson has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. Johnson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Johnson
Home
54.5% (778)
51.6% (95)
Away
55.3% (692)
54.2% (131)
By Period
Draisaitl
Johnson
P1
54.6%
46.7%
P2
56.1%
50.5%
P3
53.3%
58.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |