Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Hartman 45.5% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 92.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 65.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 86.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Draisaitl
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Draisaitl
Hartman
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
2
Draisaitl
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Draisaitl
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
44.8% (830)
+11.1%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
47.8% (92)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
37.5% (16)
+12.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Hartman
Home
55.1% (508)
45.0% (515)
Away
58.5% (595)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Draisaitl
Hartman
P1
55.8%
46.5%
P2
55.7%
39.9%
P3
59.0%
48.6%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |