Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Hartman 45.3% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 33-19 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 97.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 87.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 96.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Draisaitl
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
19
(52 meetings)
33
19
Draisaitl
Hartman
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
16
5
Draisaitl
Hartman
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
12
9
Draisaitl
Hartman
21 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Draisaitl
Hartman
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
45.2% (4,235)
+7.7%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
47.4% (443)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
42.4% (262)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Hartman
Home
54.6% (7,049)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Draisaitl
Hartman
P1
52.7%
46.0%
P2
53.6%
42.9%
P3
53.4%
46.8%
OT
57.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |