Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 36 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 48-44 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 71.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 64.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 52.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Draisaitl
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
48
(92 meetings)
44
48
Draisaitl
Kesler
Last 10: Draisaitl 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
18
10
Draisaitl
Kesler
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
13
23
Draisaitl
Kesler
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
13
15
Draisaitl
Kesler
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.5%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
60.7% (1,437)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
50.5% (1,908)
+0.7%
On power play, Kesler has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Kesler
Home
54.6% (7,049)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Draisaitl
Kesler
P1
52.7%
56.5%
P2
53.6%
55.9%
P3
53.4%
56.1%
OT
57.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 25, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |