Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Poehling 47.4% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 89.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 76.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 53.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Draisaitl
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Draisaitl
Poehling
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
0
Draisaitl
Poehling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
4
Draisaitl
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Draisaitl
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
49.8% (626)
+6.1%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
58.3% (12)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
38.2% (207)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Poehling
Home
55.1% (508)
47.3% (404)
Away
58.5% (595)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Draisaitl
Poehling
P1
55.8%
53.5%
P2
55.7%
39.4%
P3
59.0%
49.1%
OT
60.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:13 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |