Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Poehling 50.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 93.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 70.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 70.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Draisaitl
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Draisaitl
Poehling
Last 8: Draisaitl 6-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
0
Draisaitl
Poehling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Draisaitl
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Draisaitl
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
52.6% (622)
+1.1%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
58.3% (12)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
39.8% (103)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Draisaitl shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Poehling
Home
55.2% (636)
53.2% (393)
Away
53.4% (560)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Draisaitl
Poehling
P1
50.8%
50.9%
P2
56.6%
56.2%
P3
54.0%
46.1%
OT
67.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |