Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 98.0%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 93.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 97.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 96.3%
96.3%
3.7%
Draisaitl
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
9
(29 meetings)
20
9
Draisaitl
Reinhart
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
11
4
Draisaitl
Reinhart
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
4
Draisaitl
Reinhart
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
42.5% (2,173)
+10.4%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
46.5% (525)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
41.3% (339)
+9.9%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Reinhart
Home
54.6% (7,049)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Draisaitl
Reinhart
P1
52.7%
44.5%
P2
53.6%
40.5%
P3
53.4%
44.5%
OT
57.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |