Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 79.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 87.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Draisaitl
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Draisaitl
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Draisaitl
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
51.8% (444)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
45.3% (150)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Kuraly
Home
55.1% (508)
54.6% (304)
Away
58.5% (595)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Draisaitl
Kuraly
P1
55.8%
55.2%
P2
55.7%
45.7%
P3
59.0%
49.5%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |