Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Doan on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 49.1% vs Doan 48.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 70.5%
Defensive zone
Doan 62.2%
Neutral zone
Doan 68.5%
Result
Shane Doan favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Draisaitl
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Draisaitl
Doan
Last 9: Draisaitl 1-8 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
3
Draisaitl
Doan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Doan
1
5
Draisaitl
Doan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (762)
47.7% (149)
+1.5%
Power Play
51.8% (164)
46.9% (49)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
0.0% (1)
+34.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Draisaitl is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Draisaitl shoots left. Doan is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Doan
Home
54.3% (475)
50.0% (118)
Away
43.9% (497)
43.2% (81)
By Period
Draisaitl
Doan
P1
47.5%
41.9%
P2
49.7%
50.0%
P3
50.3%
49.3%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
49.0%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Shane Doan |