Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Doan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Doan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Doan 48.3% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Doan leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Doan 91.1%
Defensive zone
Doan 66.7%
Neutral zone
Doan 76.9%
Result
Shane Doan favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Draisaitl
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Draisaitl
Doan
Last 10: Draisaitl 2-8 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
3
Draisaitl
Doan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Doan
3
5
Draisaitl
Doan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
48.6% (451)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
46.3% (136)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
50.0% (10)
+1.2%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Doan is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Doan
Home
54.6% (7,049)
48.4% (312)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
47.6% (286)
By Period
Draisaitl
Doan
P1
52.7%
42.8%
P2
53.6%
48.3%
P3
53.4%
53.0%
OT
57.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 12, 2016 | OT | 02:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |