Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Crosby 55.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 54.8%
Defensive zone
Crosby 53.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 54.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Draisaitl
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Draisaitl
Crosby
Last 5: Draisaitl 2-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Draisaitl
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
53.5% (961)
+2.4%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
64.1% (237)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
64.3% (14)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Crosby
Home
55.1% (508)
56.4% (622)
Away
58.5% (595)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Draisaitl
Crosby
P1
55.8%
56.0%
P2
55.7%
52.6%
P3
59.0%
58.3%
OT
60.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |