Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Crosby 52.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 60.9%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 62.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 56.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Draisaitl
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Draisaitl
Crosby
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
4
Draisaitl
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
1
Draisaitl
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
1
Draisaitl
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
52.5% (1,443)
-0.1%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
54.7% (369)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
55.9% (34)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Crosby
Home
54.5% (778)
53.0% (931)
Away
55.3% (692)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Draisaitl
Crosby
P1
54.6%
50.3%
P2
56.1%
55.4%
P3
53.3%
53.3%
OT
66.7%
47.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |