Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Kozak 49.7% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 89.9%
Defensive zone
Kozak 65.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 67.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Draisaitl
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Draisaitl
Kozak
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
1
Draisaitl
Kozak
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
4
Draisaitl
Kozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
49.3% (294)
+6.6%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
60.0% (5)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
50.0% (40)
+0.0%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Kozak
Home
55.1% (508)
45.5% (145)
Away
58.5% (595)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Draisaitl
Kozak
P1
55.8%
53.4%
P2
55.7%
50.0%
P3
59.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |