Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Kozak 48.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 89.0%
Defensive zone
Kozak 60.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 64.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Draisaitl
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Draisaitl
Kozak
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
1
Draisaitl
Kozak
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
4
Draisaitl
Kozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
48.3% (431)
+4.6%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
62.5% (8)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
48.9% (45)
+2.3%
On power play, Kozak has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Kozak is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Kozak
Home
54.6% (7,049)
47.6% (229)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Draisaitl
Kozak
P1
52.7%
54.4%
P2
53.6%
45.7%
P3
53.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |