Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Trenin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Trenin 46.6% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 80.4%
Defensive zone
Trenin 72.3%
Neutral zone
Trenin 53.5%
Result
Yakov Trenin favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Draisaitl
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Draisaitl
Trenin
Last 8: Draisaitl 4-4 Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Trenin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
4
Draisaitl
Trenin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Trenin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
46.5% (144)
+10.9%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
50.0% (2)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
41.9% (74)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. Trenin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Trenin
Home
56.4% (734)
45.7% (129)
Away
57.5% (717)
44.0% (91)
By Period
Draisaitl
Trenin
P1
55.6%
47.5%
P2
62.1%
52.6%
P3
52.4%
32.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |