Scouting Report
Luke Johnson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Andersson wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Andersson 44.8% vs Johnson 49.5% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Andersson 54.3%
Defensive zone
Andersson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Andersson 56.5%
Result
Lias Andersson favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Andersson
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Andersson
Johnson
Last 9: Andersson 4-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
4
Andersson
Johnson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Andersson
2
1
Andersson
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Andersson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (388)
51.0% (202)
-7.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
66.7% (3)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
30.0% (20)
+10.7%
On power play, Johnson has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Andersson is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Andersson shoots left. Johnson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Andersson
Johnson
Home
42.7% (239)
53.7% (67)
Away
44.9% (185)
47.5% (158)
By Period
Andersson
Johnson
P1
43.5%
53.8%
P2
43.9%
53.8%
P3
43.5%
39.1%
Final 5 min
45.7%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Andersson
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Lias Andersson |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Lias Andersson |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Lias Andersson |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Luke Johnson |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Lias Andersson |