Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Andersson 48.3% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Andersson 76.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 72.3%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 54.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Andersson
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Andersson
Carpenter
Last 5: Andersson 2-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Andersson
1
0
Andersson
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
3
Andersson
Carpenter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Andersson
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (40)
53.2% (299)
-8.2%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
33.3% (3)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.5% (86)
-46.5%
On penalty kill, Carpenter has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Andersson is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Andersson shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Andersson
Carpenter
Home
46.7% (30)
54.6% (207)
Away
41.2% (17)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Andersson
Carpenter
P1
50.0%
52.3%
P2
46.7%
51.5%
P3
33.3%
50.8%
Final 5 min
75.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Andersson
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Lias Andersson |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Lias Andersson |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |