Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 27.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.3% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 85.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 57.9%
Neutral zone
Brown 68.5%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Brown
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brown
Bjugstad
Last 5: Brown 1-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
Brown
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (154)
49.4% (867)
-13.7%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
56.0% (25)
-32.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.7% (216)
-40.7%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Brown is 27.1% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Brown shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Brown
Bjugstad
Home
39.7% (73)
46.5% (480)
Away
30.5% (95)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Brown
Bjugstad
P1
30.4%
48.7%
P2
39.7%
45.6%
P3
32.7%
49.1%
Final 5 min
39.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
34.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |