Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (34.5% vs 35.3%). Brown wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Alexandrov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.3% vs Alexandrov 41.2% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Brown 53.5%
Defensive zone
Brown 50.3%
Neutral zone
Alexandrov 51.4%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Brown
Alexandrov
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Alexandrov
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (154)
35.6% (146)
+0.1%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
33.3% (3)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Alexandrov has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Alexandrov shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Brown shoots left. Alexandrov is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Brown
Alexandrov
Home
39.7% (73)
32.8% (61)
Away
30.5% (95)
37.1% (89)
By Period
Brown
Alexandrov
P1
30.4%
41.7%
P2
39.7%
30.2%
P3
32.7%
33.9%
Final 5 min
39.5%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
34.5%
Alexandrov
40.0%▬
39.5%
35.3%