Scouting Report
Seth Jarvis holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 38.9% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 39.6% vs Jarvis 42.6% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 50.3%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 55.3%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 52.2%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Brown
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (457)
42.0% (352)
-4.6%
Power Play
39.4% (33)
43.7% (119)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
38.2% (157)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Jarvis has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Brown is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Brown shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Brown
Jarvis
Home
39.7% (239)
43.8% (336)
Away
35.3% (255)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Brown
Jarvis
P1
39.8%
39.7%
P2
33.7%
39.5%
P3
38.9%
46.1%
Final 5 min
42.7%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%