Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 39.6% vs Zegras 39.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 59.2%
Defensive zone
Brown 69.0%
Neutral zone
Brown 57.2%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Brown
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Brown
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (457)
38.6% (1,669)
-1.2%
Power Play
39.4% (33)
38.5% (148)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
28.6% (7)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Brown is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Brown shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Brown
Zegras
Home
39.7% (239)
39.9% (882)
Away
35.3% (255)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Brown
Zegras
P1
39.8%
40.2%
P2
33.7%
38.0%
P3
38.9%
37.7%
Final 5 min
42.7%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.4%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Logan Brown |