Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.3% vs Zegras 42.6% (-6.9%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 55.1%
Defensive zone
Zegras 56.8%
Neutral zone
Brown 50.5%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Brown
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (154)
41.1% (559)
-5.4%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
50.0% (12)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Brown shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Brown
Zegras
Home
39.7% (73)
45.7% (247)
Away
30.5% (95)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Brown
Zegras
P1
30.4%
45.5%
P2
39.7%
36.8%
P3
32.7%
41.1%
Final 5 min
39.5%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
34.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%