Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Cooley wins 36.9% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 39.5% vs McTavish 51.5% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 77.7%
Defensive zone
Cooley 73.0%
Neutral zone
Cooley 76.9%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Cooley
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Cooley
McTavish
Last 8: Cooley 2-6 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
2
1
Cooley
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
5
Cooley
McTavish
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (634)
51.3% (725)
-13.3%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
55.8% (113)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
23.5% (17)
28.6% (7)
-5.1%
On even strength, McTavish has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Cooley is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Cooley shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Cooley
McTavish
Home
37.7% (332)
52.0% (454)
Away
38.4% (357)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Cooley
McTavish
P1
39.1%
51.3%
P2
37.8%
50.4%
P3
36.2%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
33.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
38.0%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |