Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cooley wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.4% vs Backlund 49.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 86.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 85.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Cooley
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Cooley
Backlund
Last 10: Cooley 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
4
0
Cooley
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
4
Cooley
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cooley
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (392)
50.1% (891)
-6.2%
Power Play
46.5% (71)
53.1% (64)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
47.8% (278)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Cooley is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Cooley shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Cooley
Backlund
Home
45.0% (211)
48.1% (580)
Away
44.0% (259)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Cooley
Backlund
P1
44.0%
45.1%
P2
49.7%
54.7%
P3
38.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |