Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.4% vs Roy 51.9% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 79.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 82.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Cooley
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cooley
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Cooley
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (392)
51.9% (547)
-8.0%
Power Play
46.5% (71)
54.1% (37)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
53.3% (92)
+3.8%
On even strength, Roy has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Cooley is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Cooley shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Cooley
Roy
Home
45.0% (211)
54.0% (328)
Away
44.0% (259)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Cooley
Roy
P1
44.0%
53.5%
P2
49.7%
51.6%
P3
38.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |