Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cooley wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.6% vs Roy 48.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Cooley leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 60.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 91.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 80.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Cooley
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Cooley
Roy
Last 10: Cooley 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
4
1
Cooley
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cooley
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,658)
48.7% (3,719)
-7.0%
Power Play
46.1% (217)
49.5% (283)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
45.5% (477)
-2.3%
On even strength, Roy has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Cooley is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (714).
Cooley shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Cooley
Roy
Home
43.1% (961)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
41.4% (958)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Cooley
Roy
P1
42.3%
50.8%
P2
43.9%
46.3%
P3
40.0%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |