Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +19.5% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 36.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 39.5% vs Hertl 56.8% (-19.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 60.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 61.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Cooley
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cooley
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Cooley
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (634)
57.0% (718)
-19.0%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
64.9% (188)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
23.5% (17)
44.2% (77)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cooley is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Cooley shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Cooley
Hertl
Home
37.7% (332)
59.2% (463)
Away
38.4% (357)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Cooley
Hertl
P1
39.1%
56.3%
P2
37.8%
55.4%
P3
36.2%
60.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
33.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
38.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |