Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cooley wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.6% vs Johnson 49.7% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 71.5%
Defensive zone
Cooley 65.5%
Neutral zone
Cooley 66.0%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Cooley
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cooley
Johnson
Last 7: Cooley 2-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Cooley
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Cooley
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,658)
49.8% (5,396)
-8.1%
Power Play
46.1% (217)
54.6% (885)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
42.3% (707)
+0.9%
On power play, Johnson has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Cooley is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (714).
Cooley shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Cooley
Johnson
Home
43.1% (961)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
41.4% (958)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Cooley
Johnson
P1
42.3%
50.1%
P2
43.9%
50.6%
P3
40.0%
48.4%
OT
100.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
38.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
42.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |