Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cooley wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 39.5% vs Johnson 45.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 65.1%
Defensive zone
Cooley 65.8%
Neutral zone
Cooley 65.5%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Cooley
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cooley
Johnson
Last 7: Cooley 2-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Cooley
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Cooley
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (634)
44.6% (285)
-6.6%
Power Play
44.7% (38)
46.7% (60)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
23.5% (17)
16.7% (6)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Cooley is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Cooley shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Cooley
Johnson
Home
37.7% (332)
50.8% (179)
Away
38.4% (357)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Cooley
Johnson
P1
39.1%
41.3%
P2
37.8%
41.8%
P3
36.2%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
33.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
38.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |