Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cooley wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.3% vs Kozak 47.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 80.3%
Defensive zone
Kozak 58.9%
Neutral zone
Cooley 62.4%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Cooley
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cooley
Kozak
Last 7: Cooley 2-5 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cooley
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
4
Cooley
Kozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (632)
46.0% (137)
-1.9%
Power Play
46.3% (108)
66.7% (3)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
40.0% (5)
+15.0%
On power play, Kozak has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Cooley is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Cooley shoots left. Kozak is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Cooley
Kozak
Home
46.4% (418)
51.2% (84)
Away
42.7% (342)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Cooley
Kozak
P1
44.3%
57.1%
P2
45.6%
34.7%
P3
44.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
41.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.7%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |