Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.4% vs Couture 49.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 62.4%
Defensive zone
Backes 68.9%
Neutral zone
Backes 65.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Backes
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Backes
Couture
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Couture
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
7
2
Backes
Couture
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
5
2
Backes
Couture
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (123)
50.8% (714)
+4.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
51.9% (79)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
37.4% (107)
-1.0%
On power play, Couture has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Backes is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Backes shoots right. Couture is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Backes
Couture
Home
46.6% (103)
47.6% (456)
Away
57.9% (57)
51.1% (444)
By Period
Backes
Couture
P1
52.1%
50.8%
P2
52.0%
48.1%
P3
48.4%
48.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |